OIL FUTURES EXTEND GAINS AFTER IRAN'S STATE NEWS AGENCY IRNA REPORTS ENEMY STRIKE ON IRAN; WTI LAST UP 2.36%, BRENT LAST UP 3%

Oil futures extended gains after Iran's state news agency IRNA reported an enemy strike on Iran, with WTI last up 2.36% and Brent last up 3%. The move reflects a geopolitical risk premium being priced into crude, as traders reassess the probability of supply disruption from Iranian production or shipping routes in the Gulf region. Brent typically carries more exposure to Middle Eastern and seaborne supply than WTI, which helps explain its larger percentage advance, while Iranian sovereign assets and regional equity and currency markets are most directly exposed to escalation risk. Traders will be watching for official confirmation or denial from governments, any signals on Iranian export capacity, and the next weekly EIA inventory report for evidence of how physical markets are absorbing the premium.

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