U.S. OFFICIAL SAYS CENTCOM HAS TOLD ISRAEL TO PREPARE FOR A POSSIBLE WAR RESUMPTION - KAN NEWS

A U.S. official, as reported by Kan News, said U.S. Central Command has instructed Israel to prepare for a possible resumption of war, though the headline provides no detail on the adversary, timeline, or scope of operations. The transmission mechanism runs primarily through geopolitical risk premia and energy supply expectations, as renewed conflict in the Middle East typically lifts crude oil prices on fears of disruption to regional production and shipping lanes, while also driving safe-haven demand into U.S. Treasuries, gold, and the Swiss franc. Israeli sovereign debt and the shekel are the most directly exposed, since capital flows tend to reverse and credit spreads widen when the country's security outlook deteriorates, and Gulf-linked equities and energy importers in Asia and Europe carry secondary exposure. Traders should watch Brent and WTI crude pricing for signs of supply-risk premium, the Bank of Israel's currency intervention activity, and any official CENTCOM or Israeli Defense Forces statements clarifying operational timing.

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