FED'S GOOLSBEE SAYS ON CNBC INFLATION HAS SPREAD INTO CATEGORIES WHERE PRICES ARE NOT BEING DRIVEN BY ENERGY

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee told CNBC that inflation has broadened beyond energy-driven categories into sectors where prices are not primarily being pushed by energy costs. This matters for rates because energy-led inflation is often viewed as more transitory, whereas broad-based price pressure raises the risk that inflation expectations and wage-setting become entrenched, which would keep policy rates higher for longer. The transmission channel runs through inflation repricing: a shift toward persistent core inflation tends to lift Treasury yields, compress the rate-cut expectations embedded in fed funds futures, and strengthen the dollar relative to peers. Rate-sensitive assets such as long-duration Treasuries, growth equities with discounted distant cash flows, and housing-linked securities are typically most exposed, while financials that benefit from a steeper curve may see relative support. Traders will be watching the next core PCE and CPI prints for evidence of whether non-energy services and goods inflation is genuinely broadening, as well as the monthly employment report for any corroborating wage pressure.

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