Retail sales in Brazil surprise with a rise of 0.2% in September - Money Times

Brazil's retail sales rose 0.2% in September, beating expectations and signalling that consumer demand held up better than many analysts had anticipated. The transmission to markets runs mainly through the domestic inflation and interest-rate channel: firmer household spending can keep activity resilient and complicate the central bank's effort to bring inflation back toward target, which in turn affects expectations for the Selic rate and the yield curve. Domestic retail and consumer-discretionary equities are the most directly exposed, since their revenues track household spending, while rate-sensitive assets such as local-currency government bonds and the real can reprice if the surprise shifts the path of monetary policy. The next catalyst for traders is the release of Brazil's IPCA inflation data, which will show whether consumption strength is feeding into price pressures and therefore how much room the central bank has to ease.

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