Iran warns of 'immediate response' to any US-Israeli attack, slams Gulf nations

Iran has warned of an "immediate response" to any attack by the United States or Israel and criticized Gulf nations, according to the headline from Middle East Eye. The transmission mechanism runs primarily through geopolitical risk premia: threats of retaliation against U.S. and Israeli targets raise the probability of supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which a substantial share of global seaborne crude passes, feeding into oil prices and shipping insurance costs. Crude benchmarks such as Brent and WTI are the most directly exposed, alongside tanker equities, defense contractors, and safe-haven assets including gold, the Japanese yen, and U.S. Treasuries. Gulf sovereign debt and regional equity indices may also face capital outflows as investors price in spillover risk to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar. The next catalyst for traders to watch is any official U.S. or Israeli response, along with weekly EIA crude inventory data and OPEC+ production commentary.

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