Iran will not remain in a state of “neither war nor peace,” Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Sunday.

Iran's parliament speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, stated on Sunday that Iran will not remain in a state of "neither war nor peace," signaling that the current stalemate is unlikely to persist. The rhetoric points to a possible shift toward either escalation or a negotiated resolution, and markets typically price such ambiguity through a geopolitical risk premium rather than through any single fundamental channel. The most direct transmission runs through oil and energy, where supply-disruption expectations in the Gulf can lift Brent and WTI futures and widen implied volatility, while safe-haven flows may lift gold and the US dollar and Japanese yen as investors reduce exposure to equities and emerging-market currencies. Regional equities, Gulf sovereign debt, and shipping and insurance names tied to Strait of Hormuz traffic are the most exposed to any change in posture. Traders should watch the next scheduled meetings between Iranian and Western or regional officials and any statements from the IAEA regarding Iran's nuclear program, as either could clarify whether the rhetoric signals escalation or diplomacy.

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