An Iranian lawmaker warned Sunday that Tehran would demonstrate what he called “absolute deterrence” if the United States launched a nuclear attack on parts of Iran

An Iranian lawmaker stated on Sunday that Tehran would demonstrate what he termed "absolute deterrence" if the United States launched a nuclear attack on parts of Iran, a conditional warning rather than a reported military action. The transmission mechanism for markets runs primarily through geopolitical risk premia and energy supply expectations, as threats of escalation in the Middle East tend to lift crude oil and safe-haven demand while pressuring risk assets through higher uncertainty. Assets most exposed include Brent and WTI crude, given the region's role in global oil flows, as well as gold and U.S. Treasuries, which typically attract flight-to-safety buying during episodes of heightened military tension. Equity markets in the Gulf and emerging-market assets with energy import dependence may also reprice on perceived escalation risk. Traders should watch Monday's crude opening and any official statements from Washington or Tehran, along with weekly EIA inventory data, for confirmation of whether the rhetoric translates into a sustained risk premium.

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