Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD sellers refuse to give up yet as US CPI, US-Iran peace talks loom - FXStreet

Gold prices remain under pressure as XAU/USD sellers maintain control amid heightened market caution ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and ongoing US-Iran peace talks. The CPI data will influence expectations for Federal Reserve policy, with hotter-than-expected inflation likely reinforcing Treasury yield and US dollar strength, thereby increasing opportunity costs for non-yielding assets like gold. Meanwhile, progress in US-Iran negotiations could ease Middle East geopolitical tensions, potentially dampening safe-haven demand for bullion. Gold is particularly sensitive to shifts in real yields and risk sentiment, making it vulnerable to both inflation-driven rate repricing and de-escalation in regional conflict. Traders will focus on the US CPI print for March, due mid-week, as the primary catalyst for near-term directional momentum in both the dollar and precious metals.

The US Dollar (USD) is the world's primary reserve currency and the base for most forex majors. Headlines about Federal Reserve policy, US macro data (CPI, NFP, GDP), and Treasury yield shifts typically drive USD pair direction within seconds of release.

HIGH-impact news is typically a market-moving event with multi-pip or multi-percent intraday reactions. Examples include central bank rate decisions, major CPI/NFP releases, geopolitical shocks, mega-cap earnings beats/misses, and regulatory announcements. Traders typically position-reduce or hedge ahead of scheduled HIGH-impact events, and follow the wire in real time to react to unscheduled ones (war headlines, central-bank emergency statements, surprise corporate actions). The Trading News Terminal squawk box reads every HIGH-impact headline aloud the moment it hits the wire — so active traders don't have to stare at the feed.

Active traders typically follow a three-step workflow when a market-moving headline hits the wire: (1) read the headline on the terminal or hear it on the squawk box; (2) assess whether the news is already priced in (by checking intraday price action in the seconds before) or whether it's genuinely new information; (3) act — either entering a breakout position, fading an overreaction, or tightening stops on existing trades. Trading News Terminal's Pro plan delivers wire-grade headlines within seconds of the source, with automatic audio squawk on every HIGH-impact event, so the read-assess-act cycle never waits on a refresh button.