Pakistan may announce US-Iran ceasefire extension of 2 weeks

Pakistan's potential announcement regarding a two-week extension of the US-Iran ceasefire is being monitored for its implications on regional stability and risk sentiment. The primary transmission channel is geopolitical risk repricing, which could ease tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and reduce supply disruption fears for oil markets. This development may support risk-on flows, benefiting emerging market assets, particularly those linked to regional stability such as Pakistani sovereign bonds and the rupee, while limiting safe-haven demand for US Treasuries. Iranian oil export expectations could also see indirect upward pressure despite existing sanctions. Traders will watch for official confirmation from Pakistani or US diplomatic sources and any subsequent statements from Iran’s foreign ministry as a near-term catalyst.

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