The US dollar declined after the Department of Justice dropped its investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, removing a key regulatory overhang. This development increases the likelihood of Kevin Warsh succeeding Powell, a shift that markets interpret as a potential move toward a more hawkish Federal Reserve leadership. The change in perceived policy trajectory has triggered a repricing of rate differential expectations, weighing on USD positions, particularly in short-end Treasury yields and dollar-funded carry trades. The Powell-related equity and credit instruments also adjusted, reflecting reduced uncertainty around leadership stability. Traders will watch the upcoming FOMC minutes for signals on whether Warsh’s nomination is gaining traction within the Fed’s inner circle.
Dollar slips as DOJ drops Powell probe, clearing path for Warsh - CNA
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