Treasury yields rise as U.S.-Iran peace talks hit an impasse

U.S. Treasury yields rose after CNBC reported that peace talks between the U.S. and Iran have stalled, increasing geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East. The rise in the US10Y reflects a repricing of risk appetite and safe-haven demand, as investors anticipate potential supply disruptions in energy markets and a tighter global risk environment. The dollar strengthened on heightened demand for liquid assets, while Iranian asset proxies retreated on diminished prospects for sanctions relief. Energy-linked currencies and emerging market debt are particularly exposed given the potential for escalating tensions affecting oil flows. Traders will watch the next EIA crude inventory report and any updates from the U.S. State Department on diplomatic developments.

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