Jerome Powell is set to deliver his final FOMC press conference as Federal Reserve Chair, marking a symbolic transition amid ongoing monetary policy normalization. Market focus will center on whether Powell signals a dovish pivot or maintains a hawkish stance on inflation, directly influencing rate expectations and the U.S. dollar's strength through the interest rate differential channel. The USD, particularly against major crosses like EUR/USD and USD/JPY, along with Treasury yields and rate-sensitive equities, are most exposed to any shift in forward guidance. Traders will closely parse Powell’s language on the timing of rate cuts and balance sheet policy, with particular attention to inflation trajectory and labor market resilience. The next key catalyst will be the release of the updated Summary of Economic Projections and dot plot, which could recalibrate 2024 rate cut pricing.
🇺🇸 Today, Jerome Powell will deliver his last FOMC press conference as Federal Reserve Chair.
About USD
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