US TREASURY SECRETARY BESSENT: I AM CONFIDENT OIL PRICES WILL FALL ONCE THE IRAN CONFLICT ENDS.

US Treasury Secretary Bessent expressed confidence that oil prices will decline once the Iran conflict concludes, signaling expectations of normalized supply conditions. This comment points to geopolitical risk unwinding as a key transmission channel, with reduced supply disruption fears likely to ease crude price premiums currently embedded in oil markets. Brent and WTI futures, along with energy-related equities and the USD, are particularly exposed, as a resolution could strengthen the dollar via improved global risk sentiment and lower inflation pressures. The extent and timing of sanctions relief on Iranian oil exports will be a critical determinant of supply re-entry speed. Traders will watch upcoming EIA crude inventory reports and any developments in nuclear talks as near-term catalysts for directional moves in oil and the broader risk complex.

The US Dollar (USD) is the world's primary reserve currency and the base for most forex majors. Headlines about Federal Reserve policy, US macro data (CPI, NFP, GDP), and Treasury yield shifts typically drive USD pair direction within seconds of release.

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