FITCH PREDICTS BRENT CRUDE OIL PRICES WILL RANGE FROM USD 100-110 PER BARREL BETWEEN MAY AND JULY DUE TO HORMUZ CLOSURE, THEN DROP TO USD 70 PER BARREL BY SEPTEMBER.

Fitch Ratings has forecasted that Brent crude oil prices will range between USD 100-110 per barrel from May to July, attributing this projection to the anticipated closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This situation is expected to impact the oil market through supply disruption, as Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments. Consequently, the USD may experience volatility due to shifts in energy prices and inflation expectations, while oil-related assets will be closely watched for price movements. Traders will particularly focus on geopolitical developments in the region and any announcements regarding the status of the Strait of Hormuz, as these could significantly influence supply dynamics and market sentiment.

The US Dollar (USD) is the world's primary reserve currency and the base for most forex majors. Headlines about Federal Reserve policy, US macro data (CPI, NFP, GDP), and Treasury yield shifts typically drive USD pair direction within seconds of release.

HIGH-impact news is typically a market-moving event with multi-pip or multi-percent intraday reactions. Examples include central bank rate decisions, major CPI/NFP releases, geopolitical shocks, mega-cap earnings beats/misses, and regulatory announcements. Traders typically position-reduce or hedge ahead of scheduled HIGH-impact events, and follow the wire in real time to react to unscheduled ones (war headlines, central-bank emergency statements, surprise corporate actions). The Trading News Terminal squawk box reads every HIGH-impact headline aloud the moment it hits the wire — so active traders don't have to stare at the feed.

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