Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark told policymakers that rapid improvements in artificial intelligence could substantially raise US gross domestic product over time. The transmission channel runs through long-run productivity expectations: if markets price faster potential output growth, real rate expectations and the terminal growth path shift, which can support the dollar via higher implied real yields while pressuring duration-sensitive assets. Exposure is concentrated in USD-denominated Treasuries, where the reaction depends on whether traders read the productivity signal as disinflationary, which would ease yield pressure, or as a driver of stronger demand, which would lift term premiums. Equity sectors tied directly to AI capital spending and semiconductors would likely be the most sensitive to any repricing of this narrative. Traders should watch the next US quarterly GDP release and the Federal Reserve's commentary on productivity trends for evidence of whether these projections are being reflected in rate expectations.
AI rapidly improving, could vastly boost US GDP, Anthropic’s Clark tells policymakers
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