Oil slips from 5-month high as Trump's Russia sanctions waiver may bring more supplies - Yahoo Finance

Oil prices retreated from a five-month high after reports that a US sanctions waiver on Russia could allow additional Russian crude to reach global markets. The transmission channel is supply expectations: a prospective increase in barrels available to buyers reduces the risk premium that had built into Brent and WTI as sanctions tightened availability. Crude futures and energy equities are most directly exposed, while Russian export revenues and the ruble are sensitive to any easing of enforcement, and refiners that can source discounted Urals barrels may see improved margins. Traders will watch the scope and duration of the waiver text, the weekly EIA inventory report, and OPEC+ output signals for confirmation of whether the added supply is material.

Crude oil (WTI/Brent) reacts in real time to OPEC+ production decisions, EIA weekly inventory reports, geopolitical supply disruptions (Middle East, Russia, Venezuela) and US Strategic Petroleum Reserve announcements. A 5% intraday move on breaking news is not unusual.

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