DIPLOMAT INVOLVED IN IRAN-US TALKS: TALKS CONTINUE; CALLS REPORTS A DEAL IS CLOSE ‘WRONG’

A diplomat involved in Iran-US negotiations said talks are continuing and rejected reports that a deal is close, characterizing those reports as inaccurate. The denial removes a near-term expectation of a diplomatic breakthrough, which keeps geopolitical risk premia in oil and Middle East-linked assets elevated, since a settlement would typically ease supply-disruption fears and push Brent crude lower. The most directly exposed instruments are crude oil futures, tanker and shipping equities, and regional currencies and sovereign debt, with traders weighing whether the prior deal-is-close reporting had already been partially priced into risk assets. Safe-haven demand in gold and Treasuries may firm if skepticism about a near-term accord persists, while energy-sensitive inflation expectations remain sensitive to headline flow. The next catalyst traders will watch is any official statement from the US or Iranian governments, or a scheduled round of talks, since confirmation or further denial would determine whether the current risk premium unwinds or extends.

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