The Japanese yen has continued to trade within a defined range against the US dollar, with currency markets positioning ahead of next week's policy meetings at the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The central transmission channel here is the interest rate differential between the two economies: the gap between US and Japanese policy rates and expectations for their future path determines the relative carry on dollar-yen positions and the pricing of forward rates. Because the pair is confined to a range rather than trending, traders appear to be awaiting a clear signal on whether the Fed will shift its rate outlook or whether the BoJ will adjust its policy stance, which would reprice that differential. USD and JPY are the directly exposed assets, with the yen typically more sensitive to any hint of BoJ normalization given its historically low-rate, carry-funding role in global markets. The key catalyst to watch is the Federal Open Market Committee's policy statement and press conference, followed by the BoJ's rate decision and accompanying guidance on the pace of any further policy tightening.
Japanese Yen extends range play vs USD as focus remains on Fed, BoJ meetings next week
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