ISRAEL’S SMOTRICH SAYS HE SEES ON SOME SCREENS THAT “THE ARABS ARE CELEBRATING TONIGHT,” AND ANNOUNCES “WE WILL NOT LET THEM CELEBRATE,” SAYING THEY BELIEVE THEY WILL SUCCEED IN REVERSING THE “SETTLEMENT REVOLUTION” IN THE WEST BANK BUT “THEY WILL NOT SUCCEED”

Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich said he sees Arab celebrations on some screens and vowed "we will not let them celebrate," adding that he believes his side will succeed in reversing the "settlement revolution" in the West Bank. The statement is a political and rhetorical signal rather than a policy announcement, and its market relevance runs mainly through the risk-premium channel, since annexation or settlement-policy moves in the West Bank can raise perceived geopolitical and sovereign risk for Israeli assets. Israeli shekel-denominated bonds, the TA-35 equity index, and Israeli banks with domestic credit exposure are the most sensitive, as investors reprice political-stability and country-risk assumptions in the face of coalition-driven policy uncertainty. Traders should watch the Bank of Israel's next rate decision and the sovereign CDS spread for early evidence of whether this rhetoric is translating into a durable widening of Israel's risk premium.

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