AUD/USD Price Forecast: Holds above 0.7000; 100-day EMA holds the key ahead of RBA

The AUD/USD pair is holding above the 0.7000 level, with the 100-day exponential moving average cited as the key technical level that traders are watching ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia's upcoming policy decision. The transmission mechanism here runs primarily through interest rate differentials: the Australian dollar's direction against the greenback depends heavily on expectations for RBA policy relative to the Federal Reserve, so any shift in the perceived path of Australian short-term rates feeds directly into the pair. Positioning around the 100-day EMA also reflects technical trend dynamics, as a sustained break below that average can trigger systematic and stop-loss selling, while holds above it tend to support the pair's medium-term bias. The AUD is the most directly exposed currency, given its sensitivity to RBA guidance and to global risk sentiment tied to Chinese demand and commodity prices, while the USD is exposed through its own rate expectations and safe-haven flows. The next key catalyst is the RBA's monetary policy decision and accompanying statement, where traders will scrutinize any guidance on the rate outlook and inflation trajectory for signals on whet

The US Dollar (USD) is the world's primary reserve currency and the base for most forex majors. Headlines about Federal Reserve policy, US macro data (CPI, NFP, GDP), and Treasury yield shifts typically drive USD pair direction within seconds of release.

HIGH-impact news is typically a market-moving event with multi-pip or multi-percent intraday reactions. Examples include central bank rate decisions, major CPI/NFP releases, geopolitical shocks, mega-cap earnings beats/misses, and regulatory announcements. Traders typically position-reduce or hedge ahead of scheduled HIGH-impact events, and follow the wire in real time to react to unscheduled ones (war headlines, central-bank emergency statements, surprise corporate actions). The Trading News Terminal squawk box reads every HIGH-impact headline aloud the moment it hits the wire — so active traders don't have to stare at the feed.

Active traders typically follow a three-step workflow when a market-moving headline hits the wire: (1) read the headline on the terminal or hear it on the squawk box; (2) assess whether the news is already priced in (by checking intraday price action in the seconds before) or whether it's genuinely new information; (3) act — either entering a breakout position, fading an overreaction, or tightening stops on existing trades. Trading News Terminal's Pro plan delivers wire-grade headlines within seconds of the source, with automatic audio squawk on every HIGH-impact event, so the read-assess-act cycle never waits on a refresh button.