Gold rose as much as 2.5% to $3,957 an ounce, recovering part of Friday's 3.7% decline, after hopes for US-Iran peace talks pushed Brent crude down as much as 11%. Treasury yields fell and the dollar weakened, indicating a broad repricing in which lower oil lowers inflation expectations and reduces the need for restrictive policy. The mechanism runs through two channels: reduced geopolitical risk premium in crude and bullion, and a softer rate path that lifts non-yielding assets like gold and silver while weighing on USD and the US10Y. Brent is the most directly exposed, given its sensitivity to Iran-related supply disruption, while gold and silver benefit from the decline in real yields and dollar softness. Traders should watch the upcoming US CPI release for confirmation of whether the energy-driven drop in inflation expectations is durable, alongside any official confirmation of talks.
GOLD ROSE AS MUCH AS 2.5% TO $3,957 AN OUNCE, REBOUNDING FROM FRIDAY’S 3.7% DROP, AS HOPES FOR US-IRAN PEACE TALKS SENT BRENT CRUDE DOWN AS MUCH AS 11%. TREASURY YIELDS FELL, THE DOLLAR WEAKENED AND EASING TECH- STOCK SELLING ALSO SUPPORTED PRECIOUS METALS, WITH SILVER GAINING 3.3% TO $50.73.
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