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High Impact

US STOCKS AND BONDS RALLIED AFTER DEMOCRATIC GAINS IN CONGRESS RAISED HOPES FOR POLITICAL GRIDLOCK AND A QUICKER END TO THE IRAN WAR. THE S&P 500 JUMPED 1.6%, THE DOW ROSE 3%, TREASURY YIELDS FELL SEVEN BASIS POINTS AND BRENT CRUDE SLUMPED BELOW $100 A BARREL.

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🏷Markets
📰via FS
✍️Edited by Luís Barata

US stocks and Treasuries rallied on Tuesday after Democratic gains in Congress raised expectations for political gridlock and a faster resolution to the Iran war, with the S&P 500 up 1.6%, the Dow up 3%, and 10-year Treasury yields down seven basis points. The transmission runs through two channels: lower geopolitical risk premia, which eased oil-supply fears and cut inflation expectations, and a reassessment of fiscal and policy risk, since divided government typically constrains large new spending and tariff or defense initiatives. Lower oil prices and reduced inflation pricing pulled yields down, supporting equity valuations and lifting rate-sensitive sectors, while the dollar and Brent crude are the assets most directly exposed to shifts in war-related supply expectations. Traders will watch the next Consumer Price Index release and any official signals on Iran ceasefire or negotiation timelines, as either could confirm or reverse the inflation-expectation decline driving the move in Treasuries.

Source: Originally reported by FS at November 04, 2026. Summary and market context by Trading News Terminal editorial.

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