Eisenkot to try to form government in Israel

Benny Gantz's rival Gadi Eisenkot has been reported as attempting to form a governing coalition in Israel, a development that signals a potential shift in the country's political leadership. The primary market transmission channel runs through political risk premia and sovereign risk perception: changes in government composition affect expectations for fiscal policy, defense spending, and the trajectory of Israel's relations with key partners, which feed into shekel valuations and the pricing of Israeli sovereign debt. Israeli government bonds, the shekel, and Tel Aviv-listed equities, particularly banks and defense-linked names, are the most directly exposed, as they tend to reprice quickly on shifts in coalition expectations. Traders should watch the outcome of coalition negotiations and any associated statements on the 2025 budget and defense allocations, as these will clarify whether the political change translates into material fiscal or policy divergence.

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