Bank of England Deputy Governor Clare Lombardelli has warned that further interest rate increases may be necessary as wage pressures remain persistent, signaling that the central bank is not yet confident inflation is returning sustainably to its 2% target. The transmission mechanism runs through inflation repricing: sticky wage growth feeds into services inflation and domestic cost pressures, which pushes out market expectations for the peak Bank Rate and extends the period of restrictive policy. Sterling and UK gilts are most directly exposed, with the front end of the gilt curve likely to reprice higher as rate-cut expectations are pared back, while UK-focused equities, particularly rate-sensitive housebuilders and domestic consumer names, face pressure from tighter financial conditions. Traders should watch the next UK labour market release from the Office for National Statistics, particularly regular pay growth excluding bonuses, as the key data point that will determine whether the BoE's tightening bias is validated or softened.
BOE’s Lombardelli warns rate hikes may continue as wage pressures persist
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