Goldman Sachs has added another Federal Reserve rate hike to its forecast, with the headline citing three reasons for the revision. The core transmission channel is the rate differential: a higher expected path for the federal funds rate widens the yield advantage of dollar-denominated assets, which typically supports USD through capital inflows and reduces pressure on the currency. Among the most exposed instruments are USD crosses such as EUR/USD and USD/JPY, along with front-end Treasury yields that are most sensitive to near-term policy expectations. Goldman Sachs equity is exposed indirectly, since a more restrictive policy path can weigh on investment banking activity and financing conditions. The next catalyst traders will watch is the upcoming US consumer price index release, since the inflation reading will determine whether the revised hike pricing is validated or unwound.
Three reasons Goldman has added another Fed rate hike to its forecast, higher and higher!
About USD
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