Market reacts the text of fiscal adjustment in Congress and balance sheets; Ibovespa in dollar rises on Friday (13)

Markets reacted on Friday to the text of a fiscal adjustment package under consideration in Congress, alongside corporate balance sheet releases, with the Ibovespa rising in dollar terms. The move reflects a fiscal-credibility channel: a credible spending adjustment can lower expected sovereign risk premia and reduce pressure on the real, supporting Brazilian equities priced in dollars. Brazilian large caps, particularly domestically oriented banks and rate-sensitive names, are most exposed to changes in local yield expectations, while the USD leg captures the currency translation of Ibovespa gains. Traders should watch the next release of the Brazilian fiscal primary result and any revisions to the congressional bill's text, since amendments that dilute the adjustment could reverse the currency and equity moves.

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