Silver demand seen down 5% this year due to weaker jewellery purchases

Silver demand is projected to fall about 5% this year, with the decline attributed mainly to weaker jewellery purchases. The transmission mechanism runs through physical consumption rather than investment flows: jewellery fabrication is one of silver's largest industrial-adjacent end uses, so softer retail buying reduces the offtake that normally absorbs mine supply and recycled metal. Silver's price is therefore more exposed to this consumer-side weakness than gold, whose demand is more heavily driven by central bank and investment buying. Traders should watch the upcoming quarterly silver demand and supply data from the Silver Institute and the next monthly flows into silver-backed ETFs, which will indicate whether investment demand is offsetting the slowdown in fabrication.

Silver (XAG/USD) behaves like gold's high-beta cousin — amplified moves in both directions — with additional sensitivity to industrial demand (solar panels, EVs). Gold/silver ratio mean-reversion is a common macro trade.

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